20 min

Toledo Weather - Fri, Feb 9, 2018

created at 8:08 a.m. - updated at 10:48 p.m. - Snow began after Midnight, totaling about 2 inches by 8:00 a.m. Steady snow is raining down. Currently, the snow is fine-grain and powdery and granular or gritty, like semolina. Temps at 8am were 20 degrees. Temps will slowly warm today to around 30. Wind was light. A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until Midnight. We are forecast to receive 3 to 5 inches during the daytime today and maybe another 1 to 2 inches between sunset and Midnight.

10:48 p.m.

TOL:
Feb 9, 2018 9:52 pm
Weather : Fog/Mist
Temperature : 28 F
Humidity : 100%
Wind Speed : Calm
Barometer : 30.14 in
Dewpoint: 28 F
Visibility : 4.00 statute miles

2:55 p.m.

The Winter Storm Warning for Lucas County was canceled early this afternoon, within the past hour or so. warning still exists for Lenawee and Monroe counties. Lenawee County is getting dumped on.

2:39 p.m.

Toledo Express Airport (KTOL)
Feb 9, 2018 1:52 pm
Weather : Overcast
Temperature : 34 F
Humidity : 76%
Wind Speed : Calm
Barometer : 30.08 in
Dewpoint: 27 F
Visibility : 9.00 statute miles
External Link : 3-day history

Toledo Executive Airport (KTDZ)
(formerly Metcalf Airport)
Feb 9, 2018 1:53 pm
Weather : Partly Cloudy
Temperature : 34 F
Humidity : 73%
Wind Speed : SSW 5 mph
Barometer : 30.10 in
Dewpoint: 26 F
Visibility : 8.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 29 F
Toledo Suburban Airport (KDUH)
(near Lambertville)
Feb 9, 2018 1:55 pm
Weather : Overcast
Temperature : 29 F
Humidity : 84%
Wind Speed : ENE 3 mph
Barometer : 30.10 in
Dewpoint: 24 F
Visibility : 7.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 26 F

1:27 p.m.

Barney and I walked from 11:18 a.m. to 12:25 p.m. The snow intensity at the start was at least moderate. It snowed hard. The snow intensity became light around 11:45 a.m. Light snow continued until about 12:30 p.m. when the snow ended. At 1:10 p.m., it's still not snowing. After our walk, I shoveled a lot. Inside the house at 1:08 p.m. The snow is north of the state line. Lenawee County seems to be receiving most of the snow.

From 7:30 a.m. to 12:30 p.m., two inches of snow has fallen. Total accumulation is 3.5 to 4.0 inches. We would have probably 1 to 2 inches more if it had not stopped. Northern Indian and southern Michigan from Lenawee County to Lake Michigan seem to be getting the bulk of the snowfall.

With the snow stopped and temps around freezing and it being the second week of February with a higher winter sun, the surface of the snow seems to be melting. Walking on the snow now has a wet, sticky sound and feeling. The sky is overcast, but enough solar radiation reaches the ground to compress or melt the snow some.

The snowfall earlier today was fine-grain, gritty, and sandy feeling.

While I shoveled, a snowmobiler zipped around the side streets. Then I saw someone ride a small ATV. It would be good cross country skiing even on the roads, maybe. The ski pole tips would need something round, probably.

We might not receive any more snow today. Or if we do, it won't be much. Radar seems to indicate that the heavy snowfall will stay north and west of us.


Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Feb 9, 2018 12:08 pm

This Afternoon: Snow. High near 33. West wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.

Tonight: Snow. Low around 20. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Saturday: Snow likely, mainly before 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 28. North wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Saturday Night: Snow likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 22. Northeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Sunday: Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 28. Northwest wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 11.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 26.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 12.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 33.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 37.

Wednesday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Thursday: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 30%.


Toledo Express Airport (KTOL)
Feb 9, 2018 12:52 pm
Weather : Overcast
Temperature : 31 F
Humidity : 82%
Wind Speed : E 5 mph
Barometer : 30.11 in
Dewpoint: 26 F
Visibility : 7.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 26 F

Toledo Executive Airport (KTDZ)
(formerly Metcalf Airport)
Feb 9, 2018 12:53 pm
Weather : Overcast
Temperature : 33 F
Humidity : 72%
Wind Speed : S 6 mph
Barometer : 30.14 in
Dewpoint: 25 F
Visibility : 8.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 27 F

Toledo Suburban Airport (KDUH)
(near Lambertville)
Feb 9, 2018 12:35 pm
Weather : Light Snow
Temperature : 26 F
Humidity : 88%
Wind Speed : ESE 3 mph
Barometer : 30.14 in
Dewpoint: 23 F
Visibility : 1.25 statute miles
Wind Chill : 23 F

11:09 a.m.

Snowing well now. Intensity is light-to-moderate. But the end of the snow is a little south of us in southwest Lucas County. Snowflakes are larger now, compared to early this morning, probably due to the warmer air. Lowered vis. Might be moderate snowfall now.

Toledo Express Airport (KTOL)
Feb 9, 2018 10:52 am
Weather : Light Snow Fog/Mist
Temperature : 27 F
Humidity : 92%
Wind Speed : W 3 mph
Barometer : 30.18 in
Dewpoint: 25 F
Visibility : 0.75 statute miles
Wind Chill : 24 F
External Link : 3-day history

Toledo Executive Airport (KTDZ)
(formerly Metcalf Airport)
Feb 9, 2018 10:53 am
Weather : Overcast with Haze
Temperature : 29 F
Humidity : 75%
Wind Speed : S 7 mph
Barometer : 30.19 in
Dewpoint: 22 F
Visibility : 5.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 22 F

Toledo Suburban Airport (KDUH)
(near Lambertville)
Feb 9, 2018 10:35 am
Weather : Light Snow
Temperature : 24 F
Humidity : 89%
Wind Speed : ENE 3 mph
Barometer : 30.20 in
Dewpoint: 21 F
Visibility : 1.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 20 F


Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Feb 9, 2018 9:48 am

Today: Snow. High near 32. Southeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.

Tonight: Snow. Low around 20. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Saturday: Snow likely, mainly before 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 28. North wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

Saturday Night: Snow likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 22. Northeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Sunday: Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 28. Northwest wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 11.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 26.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 12.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 33.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 37.

Wednesday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Thursday: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

10:42 a.m.

Light snow continues, but it's snowing harder now, compared to 15 minutes ago.

10:15 a.m.

Very light snow fell. It started a few minutes earlier.

10:00 a.m.

Still not snowing. A few tiny snow flurries were falling. Snow ended at about 9:00 a.m., and it has not snowed since. But snow is on our doorstep in western Lucas County. Snow should resume soon.

One-inch of measured new snow accumulation did fall between 7:30 and 8:45 a.m.

Toledo Express Airport (KTOL)
Feb 9, 2018 9:52 am
Weather : Overcast
Temperature : 25 F
Humidity : 92%
Wind Speed : SE 6 mph
Barometer : 30.19 in
Dewpoint: 23 F
Visibility : 7.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 18 F

Toledo Executive Airport (KTDZ)
(formerly Metcalf Airport)
Feb 9, 2018 9:53 am
Weather : Overcast with Haze
Temperature : 26 F
Humidity : 81%
Wind Speed : SE 9 mph
Barometer : 30.22 in
Dewpoint: 21 F
Visibility : 4.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 17 F

Toledo Suburban Airport (KDUH)
(near Lambertville)
Feb 9, 2018 9:35 am
Weather : Fog/Mist
Temperature : 22 F
Humidity : 89%
Wind Speed : E 5 mph
Barometer : 30.22 in
Dewpoint: 19 F
Visibility : 5.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 15 F


urgent - winter weather message
national weather service cleveland oh
910 am est fri feb 9 2018

.periods of moderate to heavy snow will continue across northwest
ohio until this evening.

ohz003-092215-
/o.con.kcle.ws.w.0002.000000t0000z-180210t0500z/
lucas-
including the city of toledo
910 am est fri feb 9 2018

...winter storm warning remains in effect until midnight est
tonight...

precautionary/preparedness actions...

a winter storm warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. if you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency. the latest road conditions can
be obtained from the department of transportation web site.

9:00 a.m.

At 8:30 a.m., Lucas County went to a Level 2 Snow Emergency, whatever that means. I means that it's snowing and we might receive several inches today. It means that since the temps were in the upper teens to around 20 degrees when the first three inches of snow fell, the roads are probably slippery, especially based upon the type of snow that has fallen thus far: tiny, powdery, gritty snow flakes.

At least one additional inch of snow has fallen since 7:30 a.m., giving us around 3 inches of total accumulation thus far.

But the snowfall as of 9:00 a.m. had ended. The intensity has been steady, light-to-moderate, since around 7:30 to 8:00 a.m., and then the intensity began decreasing at about 8:45 a.m.

Radar shows us in a temporary break in the action.

Temps continue to warm slowly.

Toledo Express Airport (KTOL)
Feb 9, 2018 8:52 am
Weather : Fog/Mist
Temperature : 22 F
Humidity : 96%
Wind Speed : ESE 8 mph
Barometer : 30.21 in
Dewpoint: 21 F
Visibility : 4.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 13 F

Toledo Executive Airport (KTDZ)
(formerly Metcalf Airport)
Feb 9, 2018 8:53 am
Weather : Light Snow Fog/Mist
Temperature : 22 F
Humidity : 89%
Wind Speed : ESE 9 mph
Barometer : 30.23 in
Dewpoint: 19 F
Visibility : 1.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 12 F

Toledo Suburban Airport (KDUH)
(near Lambertville)
Feb 9, 2018 8:35 am
Weather : Snow
Temperature : 20 F
Humidity : 90%
Wind Speed : ESE 6 mph
Barometer : 30.23 in
Dewpoint: 18 F
Visibility : 0.50 statute miles
Wind Chill : 12 F

8:52 a.m.

Snow intensity is now light. It had been light-to-moderate, since around 7:30 a.m. It looks like that it snowed at least one-inch over the past 60 to 90 minutes.

Images from the three NWS offices that cover our area.

Cle NWS:

N. IN. NWS:

This image shows Toledo in the very narrow 6- to 8-inch total snowfall range. It also shows southern Michigan and extreme northern Indiana in the 8- to 12-inch total snowfall range.

Det/Pon NWS:

Continues to show the Winter Storm Warning area in the 6- to 9-inch total snowfall range.

8 am conditions

Toledo Express Airport (KTOL)
Feb 9, 2018 7:52 am
Weather : Snow Freezing Fog
Temperature : 20 F
Humidity : 96%
Wind Speed : SE 5 mph
Barometer : 30.24 in
Dewpoint: 19 F
Visibility : 0.25 statute miles
Wind Chill : 13 F

Toledo Executive Airport (KTDZ)
(formerly Metcalf Airport)
Feb 9, 2018 7:53 am
Weather : Snow Freezing Fog
Temperature : 20 F
Humidity : 89%
Wind Speed : E 9 mph
Barometer : 30.26 in
Dewpoint: 17 F
Visibility : 0.25 statute miles
Wind Chill : 10 F

Toledo Suburban Airport (KDUH)
(near Lambertville)
Feb 9, 2018 8:35 am
Weather : Snow
Temperature : 20 F
Humidity : 90%
Wind Speed : ESE 6 mph
Barometer : 30.23 in
Dewpoint: 18 F
Visibility : 0.50 statute miles
Wind Chill : 12 F

Radar shortly after 8am

8:08 a.m. notes continued

As of 7:30 a.m., 1.75 inches of snow had accumulated. At about 7:30 a.m., I cleared an area of the back driveway to measure. Other areas of the back driveway had 5.25 inches of snow depth. The snow depth on lawns ranged from 5.5 to 6.0 inches. That means our snow depth prior to today was about 4 inches, although it seemed deeper than that on other lawns in the neighborhood. Regardless, this is already our biggest snow depth of the winter.

AFDs

Stored here from all three regional NWS offices.

http://toledowinter.com/8989/fri-feb-9-2018-afds

7am conditions

Toledo Express Airport (KTOL)
Feb 9, 2018 6:47 am
Weather : Light Snow Fog/Mist
Temperature : 19 F
Humidity : 96%
Wind Speed : ESE 5 mph
Barometer : 30.27 in
Dewpoint: 18 F
Visibility : 0.75 statute miles
Wind Chill : 12 F
External Link : 3-day history

Toledo Executive Airport (KTDZ)
(formerly Metcalf Airport)
Feb 9, 2018 6:53 am
Weather : Light Snow Fog/Mist
Temperature : 20 F
Humidity : 85%
Wind Speed : ESE 10 mph
Barometer : 30.29 in
Dewpoint: 16 F
Visibility : 0.75 statute miles
Wind Chill : 9 F
Toledo Suburban Airport (KDUH)
(near Lambertville)
Feb 9, 2018 7:15 am
Weather : Light Snow
Temperature : 18 F
Humidity : 89%
Wind Speed : ESE 7 mph
Barometer : 30.27 in
Dewpoint: 16 F
Visibility : 1.25 statute miles
Wind Chill : 9 F

6:56 a.m. Special Weather Statement

special weather statement
national weather service cleveland oh
656 am est fri feb 9 2018

ohz003-006>008-091330-
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-
including the cities of toledo, bowling green, port clinton,
and fremont
656 am est fri feb 9 2018

...snow will intensify during the morning commute...

heavier snow will move into northwest ohio through 8 am and
persist through mid-morning. visibilities will frequently drop
below one mile and roads are expected to become increasingly snow
covered and slippery. exercise caution if traveling this morning,
especially on interstates 80, 75, 475, and 280.

4:30 a.m. Winter Storm Warning statement

urgent - winter weather message
national weather service cleveland oh
430 am est fri feb 9 2018

.periods of moderate to heavy snow will continue across northwest
ohio until this evening.

ohz003-091730-
/o.con.kcle.ws.w.0002.000000t0000z-180210t0500z/
lucas-
including the city of toledo
430 am est fri feb 9 2018

...winter storm warning remains in effect until midnight est
tonight...

precautionary/preparedness actions...

severe winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous
or impossible. if you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. the latest road
conditions can be obtained from the department of transportation
web site.

5:15 a.m. HWO

hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
515 am est fri feb 9 2018

ohz003-101015-
lucas-
515 am est fri feb 9 2018

...winter storm warning in effect until midnight est tonight...

this hazardous weather outlook is for northwest ohio.

.day one...today and tonight.

please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.

winter storm warning.

.days two through seven...saturday through thursday.

additional light snow is expected saturday night into sunday,
generally 2 inches or less.

.spotter information statement...

spotter activation is not expected at this time but snowfall reports
are appreciated.

3:46 a.m forecast

Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Feb 9, 2018 3:46 am

Today: Snow. High near 32. Southeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.

Tonight: Snow. Low around 20. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Saturday: Snow likely, mainly before 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 28. North wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

Saturday Night: Snow likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 22. Northeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Sunday: Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 28. Northwest wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 11.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 26.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 12.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 33.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 37.

Wednesday Night: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Thursday: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

7:30 a.m. Flash Briefing

The following important weather statements exist: A Special Weather Statement. A Winter Storm Warning. A SPC MD 62. A Hazardous Weather Outlook. Visit toledoweather.info for details.

Here are the conditions at Toledo Express Airport as of Feb 9, 2018 6:47 am. Weather was Light Snow Fog/Mist. Temperature was 19 degrees. Humidity was 96 percent. The wind was from the east-southeast at 5 miles per hour. The wind chill was 12 degrees.

Here is the synopsis from the most recent area forecast discussion. A warm front across Southern Ohio will lift North of the area this afternoon taking the snow with it. The front will sag south as a cold front tonight as low pressure tracks across the Upper Ohio Valley.

Here is Toledo's short-term forecast as of Feb 9, 2018 3:46 am. Today will be Snow. High near 32. Southeast wind 5 to 9 miles per hour becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Tonight will be Snow. Low around 20. North wind around 6 miles per hour. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Saturday will be Snow likely, mainly before 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 28. North wind 6 to 8 miles per hour. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Saturday Night will be Snow likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 22. Northeast wind around 8 miles per hour. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Sunday will be Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 28. Northwest wind around 8 miles per hour. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

3:08 a.m. MD

md 0062 concerning heavy snow for portions of far eastern iowa to southern michigan

mesoscale discussion 0062
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0308 am cst fri feb 09 2018

areas affected...portions of far eastern iowa to southern michigan

concerning...heavy snow

valid 090908z - 091515z

summary...moderate to locally heavy snow, with rates up to one inch
per hour, will continue expanding eastward this morning.

discussion...on the nose of stronger 850-700mb warm advection and
related isentropic ascent, moderate snowfall has advanced eastward
into portions of northern indiana and southern michigan early this
morning. forecast soundings depict ascent through a dendritic-growth
layer several thousand feet deep. therefore, while upward vertical
motion is not particularly robust, relatively efficient crystal
growth should compensate somewhat, yielding rates around 0.5-1 inch
per hour this morning.

farther west into northern illinois, the strongest upward motion
related to warm advection has generally remained at temperature
levels too warm for dendritic growth, limiting snowfall rates.
however, likely related to increasing 700-mb confluence and
associated frontogenetic circulations, a narrow band of higher
reflectivity (suggesting an increase in snow aggregation) has
organized over northern illinois. ascent associated with this band
exists at colder temperatures, in turn favoring more efficient
crystal production. supporting this notion, kdvn/quad cities 88d
data highlight subtle enhancements in kdp (0.2-0.4 deg/km) around
11-13k ft agl, which is consistent with an increase in
planar/dendritic crystal growth. this narrow band will slowly shift
east this morning, but will likely be positioned over northern
illinois over the next several hours, potentially impacting the
morning rush hour with localized snowfall rates up to one inch per
hour.

..picca.. 02/09/2018

...please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

attn...wfo...dtx...iwx...grr...lot...mkx...dvn...

lat...lon 41619151 42249045 42618839 42838563 42768449 42678370
42238329 41918348 41728408 41398589 41428878 41459061
41389115 41399149 41619151

Screenshots at about 8:30 a.m.

by JR - 3668 words - 20 min read
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